Vires Capital

PAPER

Stocks·vs SPYConvergingBaseline clearly aheadassessed 2w ago

ETF Replacement Momentum

Build a serious-retail stock sleeve that can plausibly replace a passive broad-equity allocation instead of just screenshotting one hot niche run.

Targets passport

Regime-Aware Momentum Frozen Reference Paper v1

Open passport

Promotion readiness

Not yet scored

Gates score once the campaign has converged — currently CONVERGING, waiting for sufficient runs.

Minimum trade count

—

Profit factor

—

Expectancy per trade

—

Profitable folds

—

Max drawdown bound

—

Beats benchmark

—

Expectancy decay

—

Held-out window

—

Era sweep

—

Baseline to beat

Frozen Reference

Baseline

Current promoted stock reference and the baseline every broader ETF-replacement challenger must beat honestly.

PeriodJan 2022 → Nov 2024 · 797d

2023 H12023 H22024 H12024 H24/4 pass

Total return

+90.50%

vs SPY +80.45%

Excess · vs SPY

+10.05%

Max drawdown

-8.89%

bench -13.40%

Sharpe

1.93

bench 1.12

Calmar · Sortino

2.55

Sortino 3.17

Trades · Win

163

62.0% win · PF 2.12

Promotion lineage

Who has held the slot

slot · STOCKS_BROAD_MOMENTUM

Active in slot

regime_aware_momentum::stop_5_target_15

Promoted

Seeded from the existing frozen-reference promotion so the campaign has a starting production lineage.

codex· q076b_regime_aware_momentum_frozen_reference

4w ago

Leaderboard

Candidates by family

3 total

Change log

What has happened

2 entries

Candidate added

2w ago

Broader ETF challengers tracked under one thesis

The campaign now explicitly groups the promoted reference and the broader C-lite monthly challengers so the app can show research pressure against the live stock baseline.

codex

Manifest updated 2w ago

codex

Deferred

Candidate rows will deep-link into passport pages when the passport-manifest wiring completes. Lever actions wire in v2.