Promote the risk-adjusted managed BTC core first, while the tactical overlay remains research-only until a 4H scheduler is ready.
Benchmark
BTC/USD
Window
3758 days
Trades
83
Cadence
daily
Verdict
Promoted · Paper window
Eligibility
Manifest
checked in
Evidence
Risk-adjusted performance
Total Return
8409.9%
bench 17172.3%
vs Bench
-8762.4%
Sharpe
1.19
bench 1.08
Calmar
0.92
bench 0.77
Max DD
-58.40%
bench -84.18%
Win Rate
—
Profit Factor
—
Trades
83
3758 days
Era robustness
Sharpe by regime window
5/5 above floor
2.51
2016 Recovery Base
1.73
2017 Mania
0.40
2018-2020 Winter and Recovery
1.34
2020-2021 Liquidity Bull
—
2021-2022 Bear Reset
0.99
2023-2026 Recovery and Current Cycle
Governance
Promotion gates
Parameter stability
Plateau or lucky peak?
No parameter sweep backs this passport — it is a frozen reference or a comparison-lane sleeve, not a neighborhood winner. Plateau checks light up once a candidate is selected from a real parameter grid.
Paper monitoring
Tracking under monitoring window
This passport is at PROMOTED. Paper monitoring activates once the stage advances to CONFIRMING — either automatically when a bench candidate passes the promotion gates, or when an operator explicitly confirms a promotion. The 21-day monitoring window starts at that transition.