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Internal preview · Stage 2 · S4
Disclosure acceptance
S4 preview · mock fallback (bootstrap snapshot missing)
Mock fallbackbootstrap snapshot missing (/var/task/data/guided/disclosures/disc_steady_tide_v1.json)
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Start paper trading with Steady Tide?
Accepting captures your consent and starts broker setup. Paper trading begins only after broker checks pass.
The worst we've seen
−8.9%
in any rolling period
Bench max drawdown was 8.9% over the evaluated window. It could be worse.
⚠
This is paper trading
This internal preview runs only in paper mode. No real money is at risk. We're practicing with simulated capital.
What you're accepting
- Steady Tide can buy and sell US equities on your paper account
- Cash that isn't deployed parks in short-term Treasury ETFs (SGOV)
- Each position has a 5% stop loss, 15% target, and ~15-day max hold
- You can pause or stop at any time
Strategy mandate
TACTICAL_PARTIAL
Steady Tide is not a full equity allocator. It deploys 5–30% of your stock allotment based on regime, and parks the rest in short-term Treasury ETFs while waiting. This is intentional. The strategy is a tactical participation strategy, not an attempt to be fully invested.
What we don't promise
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The strategy could lose money. The drawdown above is what we've observed in testing — real conditions could be worse.
The evidence
Bench multi-era backtestevaluated 2026-04-11
Freshness
flag after 30 days
2022-01-01 → 2026-03-31
Sample size
247 obs
Regime coverage
CALM, VOLATILE
Broker realism
simulated fills
Fill realism
spread-aware simulated
Notes
Frozen-confirmation strategy variant · 5 bps slippage assumed
Shadow forward (signals only, no fills)evaluated 2026-05-07
Freshness
flag after 3 days
2026-04-15 → 2026-05-07
Sample size
22 obs
Regime coverage
CALM
Broker realism
no broker (signals only)
Fill realism
no fills
Notes
Live-time signal observation, no fills
Paper-forward (this enrollment)evaluated 2026-05-07
Freshness
flag after 1 day
2026-05-04 → 2026-05-07
Sample size
8 obs
Regime coverage
CALM
Broker realism
paper broker
Fill realism
paper fills
Notes
3 paper-trading sessions so far. This is cold-start data.
disclosure_version: disc_steady_tide_v1 · classification: MATERIAL
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